The recent outbreak of the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), which began in Wuhan,
China, has taken the world by surprise affecting more than 200 countries around
the globe. After the United Nations declared the outbreak to be a pandemic, in
early March, many nations have gone into lock-down leading to a stoppage of
trade and business between, and even within, countries. The lock-downs and
quarantines have resulted in slower deliveries because of a shortage of workers,
materials, machinery and parts and in turn, production and employment have been
affected.
A report by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) found that employment has
dropped to 42.2% from 47% with employees suffering from hiring freezes and even
outright layoffs in many cases. With so many citizens out of jobs and
unemployed, there is a certain lack of income and due to this there has been a
substantial decrease in demand which further affects any industry that is
continuing to function.
The industries that have been hit the hardest include
energy, textiles, transportation, machinery, furniture and appliances where
deliveries have been postponed indefinitely. The only industries that have shown
a significant amount of growth are electronics, plastics and rubber.
Electronics
because they have become indispensable during this time of lockdown and plastics
and rubber because of their use in protective gear, the need for which has
spiked due to the rapid spread of the virus. Furthermore, according to an
analysis by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA),
even tourism and migration of people have come to a screeching halt with the
pandemic forcing countries to close borders and disrupting global supply chains.
DESA went on to state that:
Millions of workers in these countries are facing
the bleak prospect of losing their jobs. Governments are considering and rolling
out large stimulus packages to avert a sharp downturn of their economies which
could potentially plunge the global economy into a deep recession.
A recession is termed as:
a duration of temporary economic decline during which trade and industrial
activity are reduced, which are generally identified by a fall in Gross Domestic
Product in two subsequent quarters.
Therefore, it can be
concluded as, that a recession is measured over two successive quarters, the
situation that the country is facing currently is one of worst economic decline
and it is usually known as recession.
The last great recession lasted for almost
two years from 2007-09 and it was the worst one the world had seen but tracing
the current economic decline, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has declared
that the world has entered a recession that is as bad as, or worse than the one
in 2009. According to the International Labour Organization (ILO), 5 to 25
million jobs will be eradicated leading to a $860 billion - $3.4 trillion loss
in labour income. Moreover, the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural
Organization (UNESCO) predicts that more than 1.5 billion students will be out
of school worldwide.
After the virtual G-20 Summit held on the 26th of March, Secretary-General of
the United Nations, Ant'nio Guterres launched the report on the
Socio-Economic
Impacts of COVID-19 attempting to focus on the recovery from the crisis. The UN
Chief pushed for policies that would support vulnerable groups by providing
health and unemployment insurance, social protections, prevention of bankruptcy
and job losses and well as strategies that would bolster business.
He also
advocated the prioritization of debt alleviation and announced that the UN is
establishing a multi-partner Trust Fund for
COVID-19 Response and Recovery. In
an attempt to cope with the impacts of COVID-19, the United Nations referred to
the 2030 Agenda and the 17 Sustainable Development Goals to bring the following
measures:
- Regional mobilization to examine monetary coordination, fiscal and
social measures while engaging with private financial sector to support
businesses and addressing structural challenges
- National solidarity and social cohesion to provide fiscal stimulus to
vulnerable groups, developing nations and small and medium sized enterprises
- $1 trillion liquidity injection by reallocating existing drawing rights
at the IMF
- Debt jubilee for distressed economies under which $1 trillion in debts
owed stand cancelled for the year
- $500 billion Marshall Plan for health recovery
In the conclusion to his address Ant'nio Guterres emphasized the importance of
building inclusive and sustainable economies that will be more resilient in
facing and combating pandemics, climate change and any other global challenges.
He said that the efficacy of the response to this pandemic would be judged not
by the actions of a single government but by global coordination and solidarity.
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